STAT CHECK – Looking at Jazz in 10 game spans

Utah Jazz have played 50 games this season. Allowing us to look at the team in 10 spans of the season.

OFFENSE BY 10 GAME PERIODS
jazz offense in 10 game stretches

DEFENSE BY 10 GAME PERIODS
jazz defense in 10 game stretches

Digging deeper let’s look at the advanced metrics which tell a much more accurate story. First graph is how they did second graph is how they rank.

ADVANCED METRICS
advanced metrics by 10 games

RANKING BY ADVANCED METRICS
advanced metrics by ranking

STAT CHECK – Looking a Utah Jazz playing pairs

Line-ups groupings are a new area of stats research. Some of it can be useful but you also need to be very careful because of the amount of statistical noise in these numbers. Who they are playing with, who they are playing against, time of game , etc all have an impact. Overall, I am not sure I would want my head coach making decision on these numbers.
None the less here is a look at the Jazz best and worst groups of 2 man line-ups.

Jazz 2 man line-ups
The Jazz have 60 two man groups that have played at least 100 minutes on the floor together. Those are the only ones we are looking at for these numbers

3 BEST 2 MAN GROUPS
1. Alec Burks/Paul Millsap
2. Alec Burks/Al Jefferson
3. Gordon Hayward/Jamaal Tinsley

3 WORST 2 MAN GROUPS
1. Earl Watson/ Gordon Hayward
2. Earl Watson/Derrick Favors
3. Alec Burks/Derrick Favors

3 BEST OFFENSIVE 2 MAN GROUPS
1. Alec Burks/Al Jefferson
2. Alec Burks/Paul Millsap
3. Alec Burks/Randy Foye
Note: This is really one 5 man group that has played well with Gordon Hayward as well.

3 WORST OFFENSIVE 2 MAN GROUPS
1. Alec Burks/Derrick Favors
2. Earl Watson/Derrick Favors
3. Earl Watson/Gordon Hayward

3 BEST DEFENSVIE 2 MAN GROUPS
1. Alec Burks/Paul Millsap
2. DeMarre Carroll/Enes Kanter
3. Jamaal Tinsley/Gordon Hayward

3 WORST DEFENSIVE 2 MAN GROUPS
1. Earl Watson/Al Jefferson
2. Derrick Favors/Al Jefferson
3. Mo Williams/Derrick Favors
4. Randy Foye/Gordon Hayward

Here are a few other notes. Looking at just the top 30 most used 2 man groups all having played at least 300 minutes together might have more of a signal and less noise

BEST OVERALL – Tinsley/Hawyard then Carroll/Kanter then Gordon/Marvin tied with Carroll/Hayward
WORST OVERALL: Watson/Hayward and Watson/Favors
BEST OFFENSE: Tinsley/Hayward then Hayward/Jefferson and Hayward/Milsap
WORST OFFENSE: Watson/Favors and Watson Hayward then Hayward/Favors
BEST DEFENSE: Carroll/Kanter and Tinsley/Hayward then Hayward/Kanter
WORST DEFENSE: Favors/Jefferson then Mo/Foye and Foye/Jefferson

What did you learn from this – Let me know at Locked on Sports at Google Communities

STAT CHECK – Jazz post up numbers

At the half way point of the season I looked at Synergy Sports and got the post up numbers for all the Jazz players.

jazz post up number

No surprises Al Jefferson gets most of the post offense. What is interesting is he is not that effective on his post ups, shooting just 41.5%. His lack of turnovers is an enormous benefit.

Millsap’s numbers look better than Jefferson’s but I would question the value of Synergy stats on this. If Millsap works 1 on 1 and can’t get his shot off passes out to the wing then it doesn’t count as a post-up for Millsap. This is where synergy is very questionable in how much you can really decifer from these numbers.

The other two numbers that really jumped out at me are the turnover numbers on Kanter and Favors. Kanter is turning the ball over on over 30% of his post ups.

What these numbers showed me is how far Favors and Kanter are from being able to have the offense run through them in the post as the Jazz currently do with Millsap and Jefferson.

STAT CHECK – Jazz season in 10 game blocks

At the 40 game mark the Jazz can look at their season in 10 game blocks.

Here are two graphs – the first is an advanced metric look at the season and the second is the Dean Oliver 4 factors.
season by 10 game blocks 1

season by 10 game blocks 2

A few things jump out here
* The Jazz have a huge improvement in defensive rebounding.
* The defensive rebounding improvement has lead to an overall defensive improvement
* Jazz assists and trips to the line are way up
* The disturbing trend is the Jazz are sending people to the line more and not defending the shot well, if the Jazz slip at all in defensive rebounding again the defense will fall off the cliff.

STAT CHECK – Utah Jazz Locke Offensive Ranking over the 40 games

Throughout the year I will post this. Here are the definitions. The top line is the league average so you can put everything in context. Last time we did was at 30 games now at 40 games we revisit.

TS% – Weighs free throw shooting and three point shooting ((Pts/(FGA+trips to line)*2)).
EFG% – Weights 3 pt shots so 33% from three is a 50% EFG and 50% FG% with no 3′s is also 50% EFG
Cringe/Grin – This evaluates if a player uses a possession above the league average and how much he shots high number grin when he shoots, negative cringe it is a below league average possession
LHM – Is the metric Larry H Miller used to evaluate players, heavily favors big men
Locke – Is my offensive rating. Weighs efficiency and ability to use a possession. 0 – is replacement level – League average is intended to be 10 – 20 is starter -30 is elite -40 is rare and dominating
Active – Is impact on game rating used by former NBA Coach Bob Hill – favors bigs
Jack% – amount of time between times taking a shot
2%, 3%, FT%, to% –% of possessions used doing those items
SO – amount of scoring opportunities (FGA or trip to line) in 40 minutes
pts/so – pts per scoring opportunity
pts/fga – Kevin O’Connor favorite
Pts per Poss – pts per possession turnovers are counted here not in scoring opportunities
Poss – amount of possessions used per game

JAZZ AT 40 GAMES
jazz at game 40

Last time we looked at the Jazz they were at the 30 game mark. Here is what they have done in the last 10 games offensively.

jazz last 10 games as of 1-15

STAT CHECK – Utah Jazz Locke Offensive Rankings after 30 games

Throughout the year I will post this. Here are the definitions. The top line is the league average so you can put everything in context. Last time we did was at 20 games now at 30 games we revisit.

TS% – Weighs free throw shooting and three point shooting ((Pts/(FGA+trips to line)*2)).
EFG% – Weights 3 pt shots so 33% from three is a 50% EFG and 50% FG% with no 3′s is also 50% EFG
Cringe/Grin – This evaluates if a player uses a possession above the league average and how much he shots high number grin when he shoots, negative cringe it is a below league average possession
LHM – Is the metric Larry H Miller used to evaluate players, heavily favors big men
Locke – Is my offensive rating. Weighs efficiency and ability to use a possession. 0 – is replacement level – League average is intended to be 10 – 20 is starter -30 is elite -40 is rare and dominating
Active – Is impact on game rating used by former NBA Coach Bob Hill – favors bigs
Jack% – amount of time between times taking a shot
2%, 3%, FT%, to% –% of possessions used doing those items
SO – amount of scoring opportunities (FGA or trip to line) in 40 minutes
pts/so – pts per scoring opportunity
pts/fga – Kevin O’Connor favorite
Pts per Poss – pts per possession turnovers are counted here not in scoring opportunities
Poss – amount of possessions used per game

JAZZ OVER FOR 30 GAMES
jazz at 30 games

NOTE – The Locke offensive ranking does not account for turnovers because it would hurt the guards too much however, in the case of Kanter and Favors it skews the numbers very positively. Take a look at pts per possession as well.

Last time we looked at the Jazz they were at the 20 game mark. Here is what they have done in the last 10 games offensively.

jazz last 10 games as of 12-27