STORYLINE — Latest Mock Drafts

The following is a STORYLINE post – It will continued to be updated as new mock drafts are posted by various sources.

UPDATED – June 26 – 12:17 pm

Scott Howard Cooper of nba.com has the top 4 differently than others.  He has Parker leading it off, followed by Wiggins and Exum.  Then Orlando takes Marcus Smart which leaves the Jazz to decide between the 3 power forwards – Vonleh, Randle and Gordon.

Here is nice statistical breakdown of the 3 

Scott Howard Cooper says the Jazz take

shc 5

HERE IS A VIDEO DRAFT  BREAKDOWN OF NOAH VONLEH

In Chad Ford’s mock draft the Jazz got James Young but he goes 22 the pick for the Jazz leaving the Jazz with

shc 22

Honestly, I don’t see the Jazz doing this.  In SCH’s mock draft Shabazz Napier is still on the board and I could see the Jazz making that selection and I could see them assuring themselves CJ Wilcox or Glen Robinson III.

UPDATED – June 26th 11:43 am 

The Master of the NBA Draft has released his final Mock Draft.  Ford has Wiggins leading off the celebration to Cleveland, with Parker going to the Bucks.  The Sixers take Exum at number 3.  The Jazz are hoping this pick is Embiid assuring players they want to slide down to them.  However, Ford doesn’t see it that way and the Magic take Noah Vonleh.  Leaving the Jazz a choice between Smart, Randle and Gordon.  Ford thinks it will be ..

chaf ford final mock

Gordon would be a wonderful addition to the Jazz-

WATCH THE AARON GORDON DRAFT BREAKDOWN

At the 23rd pick Chad Ford has a new name.

ford 23

This is an interesting name.  The Jazz are hoping someone would fall to them when the actual draft takes place and this would be a really exciting fall.  AT 6’8 213 he would be a bit redundant with Aaron Gordon being drafted, however this is a real talent.

In the second round Ford has the Jazz drafting CJ Wilcox with Glen Robinson III going the pick prior.  I wouldn’t be surprised if one of those go in the first round to the Jazz.

UPDATED June 25th – 10:25 pm

SheridanHoops has added their mock draft.   Parker leads off the picks going to Cleveland, followed by Wiggins, Exum and Embiid so the Jazz drove …..

sheridan hoops

and with the #23 pick

sheridan hoops 23

Interesting that Shabaz Napier is still on the board at this point

UPDATED  June 25 – 7:55 am

SI came out with there composite mock draft.   The first 4 picks were Wiggins, Parker, Exum and Embiid.  The the jazz selected

si 5

With the 23rd pick the Jazz selected.

si 23 si 5

UPDATED June 24th at 12:12 pm

Draft Express has released their new mock draft.  The first 4 go again with Wiggins, Parker, Exum and Embiid going 4th to Orlando

Draft Express has the Jazz taking

draft express

At 23 the Jazz would have Jordan Adams, Kyle Anderson on the board Draft Express took

draft express 23

Hairston can shoot it with range and showed he could score in D-League after leaving UNC.  Background check would be important here.

UPDATED June 24th at 9:43 am

Chris Mannix of SI.com and a regular guest on the Big Show on 97.5 FM, has launched his latest mock draft 

LISTEN TO CHRIS MANNIX ON THE BIG SHOW TALKING THE NBA DRAFT

Mannix has the usual first 4 after the Embiid injury.  Wiggins goes #1 to Cleveland and Parker goes #2 to Milwaukee.  Then Philadehlphia take Exum with Orlando passing on Smart to take Vonleh.

Mannix has the Jazz with the 5th pick

mannix 5

No one ever falls in a mock draft so at the 23rd pick the Jazz select

mannix 23

Adams is very limited athletically.  I wouldn’t be surprised if CJ Wilcox got some talk here but he might be around at 35.   The reality of this pick is it will likely be someone who falls in the draft.   In mock drafts there are no trades and no surprises so players don’t fall.  The opposite is true on Thursday night.

Other players that were still on the board – Clint Capela, Jusuk Nurkic (interesting player) and Cleanthony Early

UPDATED June 24th at 9:08 am 

ESPN Insider Jeff Goodman has released his mock draft.   The first 4 picks are the same names in a slightly different order.  Parker heads to Cleveland with Wiggins to Milwuakee.  In a change from other things we have seen Vonleh goes #3 and Exum lands in Orlando.  Orlando loves this scenario.

At this point what do the Jazz do ….

goodman mockThis is the first time I have seen Embiid under the Jazz 5th pick.   Embiid’s agent Arn Tellum has all the control here.  The Jazz need him to release Embiid’s medical records.  However, if Tellum wants Embiid in Boston or LA he could easily decline and send the medicals to Boston and LA rather than Utah.   If Utah finds out those medicals have been sent to Boston or LA do you dare take Embiid without the medical records.  Another issue to give the Jazz sleepless nights.

At 23 we see a new possibility.  For the first time in a while UConn point guard Shabazz Napier is on the board for the Jazz at 23.   However, Goodman has the Jazz going in a different direction

goodman 23

Napier is another small point guard but he might be the best player on the board when the Jazz draft.  Should they take Napier if he is the best player on the board?

UPDATED on June 23rd at 10:06 pm

A new name emerges from the NBA.com mock draft.   Nik Stauskas is an interesting choice by nba.com.   If the Jazz really want him they can slide back to get him and gather some more assets.

nik s

At 23 this mock draft again goes in a different direction

23 nba

UPDATED on June 23rd at 9:55am 

Chad Ford has put out his latest mock draft.   Jabari Parker goes #1 to the Cavs with Wiggins following at 2 to the Bucks.  Philly grabs Exum and Vonleh goes 4 to Orlando so the Jazz take .

chad at 5 gordon

Here is the NBA Draft video breakdown of Aaron Gordon

With the Jazz 2nd pick Ford stays with Jordan Clarkson

chad at 23

UPDATED on June 23rd at 12:05 am

Yahoo Sports has released their latest mock draft.  Cleveland takes Wiggins, followed by Parker. Yahoo thinks Wiggins fits better to new coach David Blatt.  Embiid goes 3 to Philly with Exum off the board at #4.

The Jazz select

yahoo mock

At 23 Yahoo has the usual names floating around the Jazz pick at 23 with the Jazz taking K.J. McDaniels from Clemson

yahoo 23

UPDATED on June 21st at 9:42 pm

Scott Howard Cooper of NBA.com gives his 4.0 Mock Draft after the Embiid injury.. With Parker, Wiggins, Randle (to the 76ers) and Exum off the board the Utah Jazz draft

nba

The big surprise of the NBA.com mock draft is who they have the Jazz taking at 23.  With every other mock draft telling the story of a sky rocketing Elfrid Payton the NBA.com mock draft has him falling to the Utah Jazz

nba.com 24

Jordan Adams, Jerami Grant, Jordan Clarkson and Cleanthony Early were all still on the board

UPDATED ON June 21st at 4:53

Latest from Fox Sports Sam Amico

With Parker, Wiggins, Embiid and Exum off the board the Jazz draft

foxsportsAt 23 we get a new name from Amico

fox 23

 

 

BREAKDOWN—Burke and MCW in midst of rookie doldrums

Tonight, two struggling teams with two struggling rookie point guards will go head to head. The 9th pick of a poor draft (Trey Burke) is at the helm for the Jazz, and the 11th pick (Michael Carter-Williams) is at the controls for the Sixers.

Both of them have been scuffling. Here is a breakdown of Burke and MCW for the last five, 10 and 20 games.

Note: League average EFG% is 50 (weighs 3-point shots) and True Shooting% is 52.7 (accounts for 3-pointers and FTs).

burke and mcw last 5 10 20How concerned should Jazz and Sixers fans be about their struggling point guards? For the season, Burke has an EFG% of 43.5 and MCW has an EFG% of 42.4. In True Shooting % MCW is better (he goes to the line more) at 47.6% and Burke is 46.5%.

Using these two metrics, I ran a basketball-reference search on rookie guards who played at least 20 minutes a game and had an EFG% below 44 and a True Shooting % below 48 over the past 20 years.

40 players come up.

burke mcw rookie top 20

burke mcw rookie next 20The next list I did was the same search, but I eliminated the rookie element and entered 22 years and younger. Michael Carter-Williams is 22 years old and research says the older the player/rookie the less developmental growth.

burke mcw under 22 1st 20

burke mcw under 22 next groupThese players cover a vast spectrum.

The following point guards over the past 20 years have had similar beginnings to Burke and Michael Carter Williams: Jason Kidd, Rajon Rondo, Brandon Jennings, Kemba Walker, Mookie Blaylock, Jamaal Tinsley, Shaun Livingston, TJ Ford, Sebastian Telfair, Dajuan Wagner, Bobby Hurley, Mark Macon, Speedy Claxton, Brian Shaw, Gary Grant and Antionio Daniels.

The common thread in all of these is they were early draft picks who got lots of opportunities on mostly bad teams. Jason Kidd turned into a Hall of Famer, Rajon Rondo has been an All-Star. Jennings and Walker are still developing, and the rest of the group had a hard time establishing themselves as starting point guards in the NBA.

Tough circumstances for both Burke and MCW to enter the league. Traditionally, first-year numbers of point guards aren’t always the best indicators of future performance. Will be interesting to watch these two as their careers are intertwined by draft position.

Here are the links to the searches – this is the first search:

http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/psl_finder.cgi?request=1&match=single&type=totals&per_minute_base=36&lg_id=NBA&is_playoffs=N&year_min=1985&year_max=2014&franch_id=&season_start=1&season_end=1&age_min=0&age_max=99&height_min=0&height_max=99&birth_country_is=Y&birth_country=&is_active=&is_hof=&is_as=&as_comp=gt&as_val=&pos_is_g=Y&pos_is_gf=Y&qual=&c1stat=efg_pct&c1comp=lt&c1val=.44&c2stat=ts_pct&c2comp=lt&c2val=.48&c3stat=mp_per_g&c3comp=gt&c3val=20&c4stat=&c4comp=gt&c4val=&c5stat=&c5comp=gt&c6mult=1.0&c6stat=&order_by=ws

Here is the second search:

http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/psl_finder.cgi?request=1&match=single&type=totals&per_minute_base=36&lg_id=NBA&is_playoffs=N&year_min=1985&year_max=2014&franch_id=&season_start=1&season_end=-1&age_min=0&age_max=22&height_min=0&height_max=99&birth_country_is=Y&birth_country=&is_active=&is_hof=&is_as=&as_comp=gt&as_val=&pos_is_g=Y&pos_is_gf=Y&qual=&c1stat=efg_pct&c1comp=lt&c1val=.44&c2stat=ts_pct&c2comp=lt&c2val=.48&c3stat=mp_per_g&c3comp=gt&c3val=20&c4stat=&c4comp=gt&c4val=&c5stat=&c5comp=gt&c6mult=1.0&c6stat=&order_by=ws

EMPTYING THE NOGGIN – Jazz end Rockets 5 game win streak

EMPTYING THE NOGGIN

  • The kid was really special tonight.  I delayed writing this for a moment because I don’t want to be too over the top about Trey.   Both the Rockets broadcaster after the game told me how impressed they were with Trey.   He is legit.   He has the it factor.    He isn’t afraid and more than that he wants to make the great play.   The drive over Howard tonight was absurd.   He changes everything about this team and he changes everything for the other players on the team.
  • May I temper the enthusiasm for a quick moment.  This was a great match-up with two very small point guards.  The scouting report is not out on him yet.  Teams will start to react.  Teams will start playing bigger players on him.  Teams will start to tax him defensively and he will go though some struggles.  The road is not going to be without some bumps.  With all of that said what we have seen in his opening few games tells us he is a special kid and he has a very bright future.
  • Jazz are 3-2 with Trey starting.  He has 1 turnover in 89 minutes
  • Tyrone Corbin kept telling us and telling us that what they were asking Alec Burks to do was unfair.  That putting the ball in his hand was not his strength and got him out of his game.  The last two nights when playing with Trey he was able to attack the basket, play in a rhythm, play without the ball and he was terrific on the offensive end.  He still made three or four defensive plays that have to drive coaches insane.   Plays that were the complete opposite of the game plan from shootaround.   That will get better as he matures and if he plays like this on offense the coaches will be able to deal with those a little more than otherwise.
  • Gordon Hayward got going tonight.  The Rockets wanted to hide James Harden on Richard Jefferson and when they couldn’t do that Hayward killed Harden and had 19 points in the first quarter.   Hayward got matched against arguably the worst defensive player in the NBA and took advantage.  That is huge to get him back on track.  This was the night he needed and gives him the confidence to get out of the next slump.
  • Worth taking a look to see how many of Hayward’s field goals were assisted.  You can do it on the nba.com box scores.  That is awesome.
  • Who had a bigger impact on the game tonight Derrick Favors or Dwight Howard?  I didn’t think Howard had that big an impact and I know Favors was a better offensive player tonight.
  • The Rockets didn’t hit a three in the third quarter.
  • Game was tied at 86 the exact same as the other night in Phoenix and for the second straight game the Jazz out played a good team to close out with a win.  23-17 to close over the final 8:00.  With 6:00 left Corbin went to the closing five of Burke, Burks, Hayward, Marvin and Favors.   Trey missed back to back shots and the Jazz looked like they might be in trouble.   Then Favors hot a huge offensive rebound, then Jazz got two more offensive rebounds on the next possession by Favors and Marvin, and it lead to a Favors layup on a sick give from Burke.  Burke then hit the driving layup over Howard.  The key play came when Harden threw a pass to Casppi that he wasn’t ready for and Marvin stole it for a dunk.  Jazz by 5.  Burks hit another driving layup.  To keep it at 5 with 1:38 left and Marvin clinched on a gorgeous three after hawyard gave up a three after Burke had kept his dribble alive to make the play.
  • Clutch play late.
  • These wins are huge.  They are still going  to be hard to come by this year but these push this team forward and help them enjoy playing the game.  They had lost that for a while.