JAZZ SHOOTING – Good: amount of shots at the rim — Bad: Mid range shooting
JAZZ 4TH QUARTER SHOOTING – nothing from the outside fell
THUNDER SHOOTING – great rim protection by Jazz and ran them off the three point line – Also no corner 3′s. All huge areas of focus in training camp
ALEC BURKS SHOT CHART – All of that without a single outside shot going down
GORDON HAYWARD SHOT CHART – Got the right side shots that usually fall – only 2 at the rim
The Jazz had a strong defensive night last night holding the Warriors to 33. 6% shooting. The Warriors hit their season average nearly 40% from 3 but it was near the rim where the Jazz defense took effect.
The Warriors played their starters, who were playing their third game in 4 nights in the pre-season, mostly for the 1st and 3rd quarters against the Jazz starters. The Jazz did two things very well defensively, they rebounding and they protected the rim.
Here is the 1st quarter shot chart of the Warriors. Notice the Warriors shooting around the basket.
Same story in the third quarter.
Here is the Warriors whole game shot chart
I was searching through files getting ready for the season. This was my scouting report on Alec Burks prior to the NBA Draft
Player: Alec Burks
Specifics: 6’6 193
Birthdate: July 20 1991 (20 years old)
Numbers: 21 pts 6.5 rebs and 3 asts – 47% FG and 29% 3pt
Game Scouted: Colorado v. Texas A&M – Colorado v. Kansas
Alec grew up in Grandview Missouri. Was the state player of the year in Missouri. Was the Big 12 Freshman of the year. Leaves Colorado after two years. Set the Colorado school record for most points in a season and most free throws made and attempted in the a season.
Alec is a bonafide scorer. He plays mostly in isolation dribble drive circumstances. He was forced to use a ton of possessions at Colorado. The knock on his game is his outside shooting but as a 81% free throw shooter he has touch. He creates and plays off contact. He has an amazing ability to get shot off. His handle is ok for a two guard and he is a somewhat willing passer. Defensively, he is not very active.
He has all the skills to be a 18 to 20 point a game scorer in the NBA. He will be very good on a late short clock. If his shooting from the outside improves he will be deadly. Can he learn how to play as the non primary focus of a team’s offense? If he is special inside he has a chance to be a Brandon Roy type player. He will score and get to the line in the NBA. I believe players can learn how to shot and would anticipate Burks to be a 33% three point shooter, not great but good enough. Has to learn how to play without the ball, at Colorado had the ball in his hand most of the time.
Overall: He is a slashing scorer.
Move without the ball – Gets himself open but doesn’t use picks great to free himself. Didn’t come off picks tight or on a curl
Isolation Game: He can take you 1 on 1 and beat you. But he is going to need to learn some tricks to help him complete plays
Handle: He can beat you with the dribble and holds it together in traffic . Great hesitation dribble
Pick and Roll: He doesn’t turn the corner a great deal. He would rather retreat and go 1 on 1 .
Shooting: Not a good shooter. Some think his shot is broken others think it will develop. I am more on the side of developing. Has great elevation on his jump shoot which means he will be able to get the shot off. I also think it might be why he shots a low percentage that being that he is fatigued. Has a tendency to fade.
Passing – Passing is part of his game but not what makes him. He is ok passing but he doesn’t make a ton of plays for his teammates.
Understanding: Great offensive player.
Poise: Sometimes a bit cool for school.
Overall: Pretty lax defensively. Doesn’t give a lot of himself on the defensive end. He played harder in the final moments of the game. Good enough athlete to recover.
On Floor Defense: Not good. .
Help Defense: Not much
Pick and Roll D gets hit on picks without a lot fight.
Rebounding Average for a shooting guard
Hands: Good free throws and good handle on the dribble
Balance. Willing to play with contact, seems strong
Play Hard: Not incredibly but gives of himself offensively.
Feet: Good balance
Pressure Not clear
Attitude If he has it inside he could be special.
Best Case Scenario Brandon Roy or Paul Pierce
Likely Case Scenario: Caron Butler or Josh Howard Demar Derozan
Worst Case Scenario Willie Green
Today we look at Danny Granger of the Indiana Pacers, in our continued look at players who had a major jumping possessions. Granger in the 2006-07 season the average 14 possession game then jumped to 19 the next year and 25 year after that. Granger is the best case scenario for Gordon Hayward. Most of the players will look at stay the same or take a slight dip when they get the increase of burden of possessions. However, in the case of Danny Granger he exploded jumping from a locke offensive rating of 17 to 22 and then to 33. Truthfully Danny Granger outlier when it comes to looking at this research of all the other players.
Granger used a possession every 2 minutes that he was on floor when he became the number one option for the Indiana Pacers. That is a tough task and is almost ball hogish. For Gordon Hayward to be able to use a possession every 2 minutes is going to be difficult in a balance jazz attack.
The next player in our study, looking at what happens when someone goes from the third option to the first option offensively is Al Harrington. We must go back a few years, Al Harrington came to the NBA directly out of high school and became the primary go to guy in Atlanta after 6 years in Indiana. In his final years in Indiana Harrington was averaging about 14 possessions a game but when he went to Atlanta he we had to use 20 possessions a game. Harrington struggles in this role if you look at his Locke offensive ranking he was just barely above average. However, looking back the years Harrington played in Indiana he was not an efficient player . In fact, his numbers got just a notch better when he became the primary option in Atlanta and had the increase of possession use.
Atlanta gave up on Harrington and his return to being a complimentary player in Indiana, Golden State and the New York Knicks this seems to be much better after having the experience of being a primary scorer. Specifically, to our study of Gordon Hayward’s move the third score to the first score we see once again the move to 20 possessions from 15 didn’t hurt Harringtons productivity he was never a particular efficient player.
This year the Utah Jazz will ask Gordon Hayward to go from the 3rd offensive option to the number one option. This is an enormous burden on a player. Last season, Hayward used 14 possessions a game it is fair to guess he’ll be near 19 or 20 possessions a game this season. Hayward’s move to the bench last year, increased his possession usage when he was on the floor from the previous year greatly. This will make the transition a bit easier than it would have been otherwise. For example, two seasons ago Hayward used 13.7 scoring opportunities per 40 minutes and last season he used 17.2 scoring opportunities for 40 minutes. At that rate Hayward would have to make almost no change to get to19 or 20 possessions a game assuming he plays 38 tonight.
However, defenses will make an adjustment to Hayward and this is what makes going from being the number three option to the number one option so difficult. Over the next few days we will look at those players who have had to have a similar jump in their game and see what it did to their efficiency productivity.
Our first piece of analysis will be current jazzman Richard Jefferson who on two different occasions in his career with asked to pick up the primary scoringload. Looking at the chart below you will see in the yellow highlights areas where Jefferson had an increase in possession usage. Both of those times Jefferson’s first year actually he increased is efficiency before slipping in the second year. Overall, Jeffersons performance in those two seasons at the number one option are not greatly different from what he did as a complimentary player to the stars he has played with. This is a very good sign for what the Jazz can expect for Gordon Hayward this upcoming season.
That next player will look at is Al Harrington. If you have any suggestions of players to look at please email me at firstname.lastname@example.org or tweet me with #locketipoff
Over the next week or so I am going to dig inside the numbers on the our returning Jazz players. Here is the Alec Burks breakdown
• Year 2 jumps in three point shooting from 33% to 36%, however free throws per 36 minutes decreased from 5.5 per 36 to 4.1 per 36
• Shot just 71% from the line.
• Defensive rebounding percentage was up to 11.2%. Overall rebounding down but his defensive rebounding up could be very valuable
• Post All Star break – 45% FG, 39% from three.
• Post Feb 1st – 25 of his last 59 from three point range (42.3%) Overall 110-224 (49%) but just 3.2 FT’s per 36 minutes.
Shooting Locations Development
• Rookie year angle right three – 4 of 14 second year that became 10 of 25
• Corner three’s 4 of 12 2nd year that became 6 of 16 – 10 of 28 (35%) below league average of 39.5%
• Hit from straight away 7 of 16. Above the break was 27/76 (35.5%) league average.
• Restricted Area – (55.6%) down 3% from rookie season
• 5 to 14 feet – 17/58 (29%) up 3% from rookie season
• In Paint (non restricted) – 12/43 27.9% up 2% from rookie season
• Mid Range – 44/120 – 36.7% up 5% from rookie season
• 16 to 24 feet – 37/98 (37.8%) up 5% from rookie season
• Shot 33.9% in 1st half of games and 30% from three
• Shot 27.3% in 1st quarters of games just 90 minutes – 2nd quarter 36% 30% from three.
• This is not new – rookie season he shot 31% in the 1st quarter and shot 14% from three
• 4th quarter was his best 49.2% and 39% from three
With Gordon Hayward
• Burks a little less efficient – 41% FG and 33% from three. Rebounding up
• Jazz +4 per 36 with both on the floor
• Gordon scoring goes up to 20.6 pts per 36 minutes. Three point shooting sky rocketed to 47%
• With Burks no Gordon Jazz were -2.7 per 36 with Gordon no Burks Jazz were -2.7
• Spot up three pointers – 37.7% (23 of 61)
• Transition – ranked 266th scored on 51.7% turned it over 14.4% and shot 50.6% with 1 of 10 from three.
• Pick and Roll with the ball – ranked 88th – shot 36.5% scored on 37% of plays turned it over on 14.2%
• Strong off the cut shot 15 of 19 when catching off the cut.
• In isolation shot 38.5% (10 of 26) turned the ball over 15.6% and scored on 34.4% of isolation plays