JAZZ DRAFT BREAKDOWN — Trey Lyles

Compiled by Leif Thulin

TREY LYLES, Kentucky

MEASURABLES

Age: 19

Height w/ shoes:  6’10.25

Weight:  241

Wingspan:  7’1.5

Standing Reach:  9’

No Step Vert:  NA

Max Vert:  NA

Measurable Comps:  Josh McRoberts (via draft express)

 

LOCKE’S TAKE

Power forward who makes plays.  Won’t wow you with his athleticism, but he is consistently making plays.  Had to play much of the season at Kentucky out of position as a small forward.  Will be a 4 in the NBA.   Good passer, with a solid handle.  Strong post moves that can beat someone on a switch.   Has not shown the ability to shoot the 3 but was solid in mid range shooter.   Has a decent off the bounce game.  Defensively is very solid but isn’t a high flyer.  Very similar to Patrick Patterson when he came out of Kentucky.  Brandon Bass is another solid comparison

 

WATCH LOCKE’s DRAFT VIDEO BREAKDOWN

 

PERSONAL STORIES/BACKGROUND

Trey Lyles played for the 38-1 Kentucky Wildcats, starting every game once Alex Poythress tore his ACL. Lyles came into Kentucky as the sixth ranked recruit in the nation, playing alongside 9 All Americans everyday. Trey Lyles projects as a late lottery to mid 1st round pick. He was a strong defender in college, both at the three and the four. Weighing in at 6’10” and 241 lbs, Lyles should be able to play the four in the NBA, and maybe even the three if he can improve upon his three point shooting and speed.

 

McDonalds All-American

Indianapolis Player of the year

Born in Saskatoon, Canada

Originally committed to Indiana and then decommitted and went to Kentucky

Played for Canada at U19

 

MOCK DRAFTS

Chad Ford:  11th

Jeff Goodman:   15th

Draft Express:   15th

NBA.com:   NA

Sports Illustrated:   14th

NBA Draft Net:  8th

CBS Sports:  15th

SB Nation:  NA

 

NUMBERS  

Minutes: 23.0

Points per game: 8.7

Rebounds per game: 5.2

Assists per game: 1.1

Steals per game: 0.5

Blocks per game 0.5

Field Goal Percentage: 48.8%

Three Point Percentage:  13.8%

Free Throw Percentage: 73.5%

 

ADVANCED NUMBERS  

Spot Up Shooting:  36.4 EFG%  (26-77)

Post Ups:    50%  (12-24)

Isolations:  1 for 9

P&R Man:  only 9 possessions

P&R Handler:  only 3 possessions

Jump Shots:  39.1% EFG

Around the Rim:   67% – very high number

Catch and Shoot:   33.7 EFG%

Catch and Shoot Open:   45.2 EFG %  (13-31 overall) (3 of 21 guarded)

Jump Shot off the bounce:  47% EFG (45.5% overall)

17 feet to 3 point line:   40% (16 of 40)

 

EXPERTS ARE SAYING

 

DRAFT EXPRESS (April 22nd 2015)

Lyles has excellent size and length for a power forward, measuring 6-10 in shoes, with a strong 235 pound frame, and a huge 7-3 ½ wingspan. He is a fluid and mobile big man, but not overly quick or explosive, lacking a degree of athleticism that may limit his long-term upside to a certain extent. He’s done a good job of working on his body over the past 18 months, as he has struggled in the past with his conditioning level, but has worked hard to maximize his physical tools after looking somewhat out of shape in the past.

 

Lyles has a very nice skill-level for a player his size. Showing advanced footwork and very soft touch, he’s strong enough to make some plays with his back to the basket, something that wasn’t a featured part of his game at Kentucky, but he’s nevertheless capable of. He finished 50% of his field goal attempts in the post according to Synergy Sports Technology, and drew a free throw on 25% of his possessions on top of that.

 

He also shows nice potential as a ball-handler on the perimeter, being capable of attacking his man off the dribble smoothly driving in either direction, mixing in crafty spin-moves with strong body control and choppy footwork, and often finishing with a floater or using the glass with his soft touch. While he’s not overly quick, his strong frame and solid timing and patience helps, and as he goes back to playing at the 4/5 spots like he did earlier in his career, he’ll have even more of an advantage taking opposing players out on the perimeter.

Another area NBA teams will likely try to learn more about is Lyles’ potential as an outside shooter. He was somewhat of a mixed bag at Kentucky in this area, only converting 4 of his 29 3-point attempts (14%) on the season, and 32/87 jumpers (37%) overall according to Synergy

 

Lyles has a good feel for the game and is a solid passer, not turning the ball over very frequently as well. His basketball IQ shows up with his ability to crash the glass, where he posted 3.2 offensive rebounds per-40, despite seeing heavy minutes on the perimeter. He’s been a solid rebounder throughout his career—aided by his huge wingspan, as well as good timing and soft hands—and should continue to hold his own here in the NBA despite his average athleticism and the fact that he’s not overly physical.

 

Lyles is somewhat of a divisive prospect among NBA scouts. He has some very obvious tools, with his size, length, high skill-level and strong feel for the game, but wasn’t overly productive (15.5 points, 9.3 rebounds per-40) or efficient (55% TS%) in college, which is easy to understand due to the circumstances. Power forwards who aren’t great perimeter shooters, athletes or shot-blockers are not the most en vogue players in today’s NBA, so he’ll have to be drafted into the right situation with the understanding of what his strengths and weaknesses are to reach his full potential. Nevertheless, only being 19 years old, time is clearly on Lyles’ side.

 

From DraftExpress.comhttp://www.draftexpress.com/#ixzz3cDYk89H7

http://www.draftexpress.com

 

FRAN FRASCHILLA

I have seen Lyles at his best around the basket. Ultimately, his skills will fit better in the NBA as a face-up power forward with the skill to hit midrange jumpers and, ultimately, the ability to score around the basket in the NBA. His size, athleticism and game remind me of David West at Xavier, although West played all four seasons there before heading to the league.

Lyles has the size and body frame to score around the basket, although he is not an explosive athlete. In fact, while he made 74 percent of his shots around the basket this season, his game is often based on guile and intelligence. He is an up-and-under guy who will not be able to score over length early in his career. Watch how many times he double-pumps while in the air around the basket.

 

CHAD FORD

I’m a big Lyles guy,” one scout said. “Watched him a bunch in high school. The Kentucky thing is helping a lot of these guys, but we’d be talking about him higher if he was on a team that really ran things through him. He’s not a crazy athlete or anything, but he’s bigger than you think and just knows how to play. He’s a power forward in the NBA and once he’s in that position, everyone’s going to like him. If you get him in the middle of the draft? You got a steal.”

JAZZ DRAFT BREAKDOWN – Myles Turner

MYLES TURNER

MEASURABLES
(Draft Express)
Height: 6’11.5”
Weight: 239 lbs
Wingspan: 7’4”
Standing Reach: 9’4”
No Step Vert: NA
Max Vert: Na
Measurable Comps: Chris Kaman (NBA Draft.Net)

LOCKE’S TAKE
Incredible body for a 19 year old. Does not move naturally. Has been working on his running all off-season. Has an amazingly soft touch on his shot for a man this big, but shooting numbers are not great. With 9’4 reach gets to balls that others can’t impact. Slow laterally going to have a hard time covering pick and roll and getting back to man and on switches until his footwork improves. Drafting the body and the touch.

PERSONAL STORIES/BACKGROUND
Myles Turner is a big man, able to play either the four or five, capable of stretching the floor and hitting shots from three. Myles was the last major recruit of the class of 2014 to decide where to play their college ball. Turner decided to stay at home and play for the Texas Longhorns. The longhorns had the advantage of big man depth, causing the disadvantage for Myles’ growth as a player in terms of minutes played, coming off the bench, playing behind, Cameron Ridley and Connor Lammert. As a player, Myles Turner has all the potential in the world, relying on his sweet stroke, shooting an astounding 83.9% from the free throw line.

MOCK DRAFTS
Chad Ford: 9th on bigboard
Draft Express: 13th
NBA.com: 13th
Sports Illustrated: 13th
NBA Draft Net: 13th

NUMBERS
Minutes: 22.2
Points per game: 10.1
Rebounds per game: 6.5
Assists per game: 0.6
Steals per game: 0.3
Blocks per game 2.6
Field Goal Percentage: 45.5%
Three Point Percentage: 27.4%
Free Throw Percentage: 83.9%

ADVANCED NUMBERS (I will take care of these)
Spot Up Shooting: 12 of 47 (efg 36%)
Post Ups: 45 of 95 (47%)
Isolations: 5 for 13 (39%)
P&R Man: 7 for 18 (efg% 47)
P&R Handler: NA
Jump Shots: 24 of 78 (41% efg)
Around the Rim: 40 of 64 (63%)
Catch and Shoot: 18 of 63 (39.7% efg)
Catch and Shoot Open: 14 of 39 (51% efg)
Jump Shot off the bounce: 2 for 7
17 feet to 3 point line: 5 for 16

2015 NBA Draft BREAKDOWN – Devin Booker

2015 NBA DRAFT BREAKDOWN – DEVIN BOOKER
Games Watched: Kentucky v. Louisville, Kentucky v. Notre Dame, Kentucky v. Arkansas and Kentucky v. Wisconsin

OVERALL: 18 year old son of former NBA player Melvin Booker. Known primarily for his shooting. Great stroke both off the bounce and catch and shoot. Has athletic ability but not overwhelming. Smart play who does little things that shows his understanding of the game. Coach Calapari showed great confidence in him early in the season in big moments giving him minutes. Terrific ball mover and passer. Sees plays before they happen.

Will Be Solid Pro If ….. Makes shots. Thought of as best shooter in the draft. Scored on 1.17 pts per possession on spot ups. One of the best in the college game. EFG% was 57.8%. On unguarded shots he was deadly at 68.6 efg%.

Will Struggle as Pro if … all he does is make spot up shots. Teams went at him on the defensive end and he had a hard time handling it. May not be athletic enough to handle the defensive responsibility in the NBA. In addition, had a hard time getting free off picks to get his looks at times on the college level. Speed of NBA game could reduce his ability to be a shot maker. Off screens he didn’t shoot well on the college level his EFG% was 43.2%. Off the bounce he shot just 37.3% and 38.2 efg%.

2015 NBA DRAFT BREAKDOWN – Kelly Oubre Jr.

Games Watched: v. Kentucky, v. Baylor at Big 12 Championship and v. Wichita State in NCAA Tournament

Age: 19 years old won’t turn 20 till December of rookie year

Measurable: 6’7 203 pounds. 7’2.25” wingspan and 8’6.5” standing reach. No Step Vert 34.5 and Max Vert 37.

Numbers: 21 minutes a game at Kansas. Averaged 9 pts on 7 shots a game. Shot 44% and 36% from three. Grabbed 5 rebounds and dished 1 assist a game. Also had 1 steal a game.

Locke Take: Young long left handed wing player. Plays a smooth game. Has a solid handle and shoots the three comfortably. Doesn’t make a large impact on the game. Large part of this, is how Bill Self uses his wings. Remember how little Andrew Wiggins did last year. However, in the three games I watched I never saw a special athletic play. He never made a play where he was superior talent wise. Nice player with an array of talents. Good show and go game off the three point line and was under control making the next decision. Used mostly as catch and shoot player and hit on an efg of 54% of catch and shoot. Shot just 33% off the bounce. No NBA talent jumped out. Length is his best attribute. Has a nice feel for the game defensively. He shades correctly and understands defensive aspects of the game. Does a good job on the pick and roll guarding the ball handler. Plays too much of the game passively. Never saw him assert himself on a game or a play. Playing hard is a skill he will need to attain. So young needs to and will be much stronger.

College Game Impact: Very rarely played in any space. Had a few chances to handle in the pick and roll. Only ran 42 pick and rolls as the ball handler all season. Anytime he went to the basket it was crowded. Perry Ellis was focus of offense down low and Mason dominated ball on the top.

Will be good pro if .. if his shot can be consistent has nice length to be able to get it off. If he spaces the floor well he will be able to play off the bounce and make plays in the lane with the shot or the dribble. Length will give him chance to be good defensive player and he understands the game and where he is supposed to be on the floor.

Will not have a good career if …. He doesn’t play harder. Was a passive player at Kansas. Needs to get stronger to be able to play with contact and make plays on 50-50 balls. Might not be a good enough athlete. Might not be that good a shooter. On spot up chances in college he hit on just 29 of 81 for (36%). Most of those were threes.

INSIDER – Jazz bigs and how they have played together

Quin Snyder has had the difficult task of dividing 96 minutes a night between 4 good big man, Derrick Favors, Enes Katner, Rudy Gobert and Trevor Booker.   Each player has there strengths and weaknesses and in turn compliment each other differently.

What is striking is how this has changed through the season as the defensive system has evolved for the Utah Jazz.

The following chart is the Jazz big man pair for the first half of the season

playing pair bigs 1st half

 

The much talked about Gorbert and Favors combo was rarely used in the first half of the season.   In the first half of the season each line-up with Enes Kanter was a disaster.

Since Dec 19th the halfway point of the 52 games so  far things have been very different

jazz 2nd half bigs

 

The Favors/Gobert combo has become a much more prominent line-up.  Most interestingly the Kanter and Favors line-up has gone from -5.2 per 100 possessions to a -.3 over 100 possessions.  A great improvement.    In addition, the Favors/Booker that was prominent in the first half of the season and unsuccessful has been reduced to particular circumstances and been much more successful .

All three line-ups with Enes Kanter on the floor area above better than league average defensively.  League average is 103.7 and Kanter/Favors is 101.7 since Dec 18th.  101.7 would rank 11th in NBA for a team.   Kanter/Gobert is 100.4 would rank 9th.

What is most exciting about the above graph is that over the last half of the season every Jazz big man pair, other than Booker and Gobert, is a really strong defensive unit.   They have not figured out how to score yet, but they are all defending very well.

 

BREAKDOWN – The evolution of Derrick Favors into a force

 

Eyes have been glued to every Dante Exum move, Rudy Gobert has become must watch on the defensive end and Gordon Hayward has proven he can be a star in the NBA.  In the midst of all those story lines this year , the quiet kid from Atlanta, Georgia has calmly taken an enormous jump as a player.

In 4 of the last 5 games Derrick Favors has notched a 20 point, 10 rebound game.  He has scored 20 points or more in more games this year than he did the entire year last year.  He is shooting a career high 55.5%. His scoring jump over the last three years is 9.4 to 13.3 to 16.2.   The list continues, career high in assists, free throws attempts, offensive rebounds and lowest turnover per game since his rookie year.

Numerous factors have come together for Favors to make this step.   He is a starter for the 2ndyearbuilding off last year’s 73 starts.  His weight training work with Mark McKown has been consistent and the dividends are showing.     Favors spent hours on end in the off-season working on his mid-range jump.   Finally, the new offensive system has moved where Favors is making his plays on the court.    Put all of these together in the same stew and a star is emerging in Derrick Favors.

The biggest change of all for Favors is where he is getting the basketball.   In the previous offensive system Favors got the ball primarily on the left block.   This year he is playing off the elbows more than he has in the past.  This allows him to attack from the top or in angle right or angle left.

Compare the shot distribution charts of Favors last year compared to this year.

2013-14 SEASON SHOT DISTRIBUTION

favors shot distrubtioon 13-14 2014-15 SHOT DISTRUBUTION

favors shot distrubution 14-15

Notice a year ago Favors used 11% of his possessions on the left block last year and this year it is down to 5.9%.  It is clear where those possessions have gone.  Rather than using 7% of his possession around the free throw line he is using nearly 15% of his possessions from straight away.

By coming from the top Favors has been able to use his quickness rather than his power.  He is able to see more of the floor and from where the defenders are converging on him.  Think of how the Suns used Amare Stoudamire with Steve Nash in Phoenix.

His effectiveness has changed as well.   The strength work has made him a force around the rim.  In the chart below you can see he has jumped from 65.5% at the rim to an impressive 72.2%.  Of players who take 5 shots or more in the restricted area per game, Favors is 4thbest in the NBA behind DeAndre Jordan, Anthony Davis and Tyson Chandler.

favors shooting contrast 13-14 to 14-15

 

Lastly, this summer Favors stayed in Salt Lake City and lived in the gym.  Each day he worked on his jump shot.  He told me the #1 area of focus was balance on this jump shot.  The work has given Favors an element to his game he never had previously.

YEAR Mid Range FG%
14-15 40% (45 fgm)
13-14 31% (54 fgm)
12-13 31% (36 fgm)
11-12 29% (21 fgm)
10-11 29% (21 fgm)

 

More impressive is what Favors is doing from 15 feet and out.

YEAR 15 Feet+ Shooting
14-15 44%  (32 fgm)
13-14 28%  (24 fgm)
12-13 23%   (17 fgm)
11-12 23%  (7 fgm)
10-11 24%  (10 fgm)

At just 23 years old there is likely more to come for Favors.  Each night he is having a larger and larger impact on games.   Who defends him is having less impact on how he performs.   Maybe most importantly, his effort level has become consistent each night.

This is all part of the process.  One of the most commonly heard things from Dennis Lindsey is the Jazz are not going to skip steps. Derrick Favors might be the best example of player going step by step through the development and beginning to come out the other side.

 

BREAKDOWN – How one hustle play changes a game

I just finished re-watching the Jazz and Bulls from last night. Fun night.

I was struck with how one play or one play linked to another can change the entire complexion of the game. With 9:15 left in the third quarter, the Jazz were still down by 15. Alec Burks bounces a tough pass to Favors in traffic. The ball is loose. Noah and Favors poke at it, then Butler joins the mix. Now it’s a 50-50 ball. Favors thinks he has it, but Butler knocks it away again and Favors continues to relentlessly battle. He maintains the possession at the 3-point line, steps forward and hits a 16-foot jumper.

If he doesn’t make this hustle play, the Jazz are down 17 after a Bulls fast break, and they are still deep in the hole and the crowd is dead. Instead, Favors hits the jumper and the Jazz are within 13.

Then the next play, Trey Burke gets a steal on a Pau Gasol pass. Gasol’s pass was a bit loose but a nice play by Trey to step in a passing lane, and then Trey hits the speed dribble up the floor.  On his way up the floor, Favors picks off a Bulls defender at half court and then as Trey hits the lane Kanter screens off Noah and clears the lane for Trey. Wide open layup.

11-point game. Crowd going nuts. All of a sudden a blowout is a ballgame.

What did it take? A hustle play. A correct defensive rotation. Two smart little plays (picks) and the Jazz were on their way.

Little plays matter. The player who doesn’t get that 50-50 ball is indirectly costing you a game. The player who doesn’t set the pick in the opening floor or screen the opposing big costs you games. These are winning plays.

INSIDER—All about Utah’s trade with Cleveland

Dennis Lindsey and his staff keeps working. Today the Jazz made a deal acquiring Carrick Felix, a second-round pick from the Cleveland Cavaliers and cash. In exchange, the Jazz traded the three non-guaranteed contracts of John Lucas III, Erik Murphy and Malcolm Thomas.

WHO IS CARRICK FELIX?

Felix is a 6’6″ shooting guard out of Arizona State and the University of Southern Idaho who was a 2013 second-round pick by the Cleveland Cavaliers. He is 23 years old.

Out of Southern Idaho, Carrick originally committed to Duke, but was denied admission.  He spent two quiet years at Arizona State and then had a very good final year with the Sun Devils.

Felix is a defensive-minded wing player and an excellent athlete. He has shown signs of being a solid spot-up shooter. He’s also a very strong rebounder for a shooting guard. At Arizona State, Felix was Pac-12 All-Defensive Team after averaging a remarkable 8.1 rebounds per game as a shooting guard.

Last year, he played in just seven games for the Cavaliers. His season was derailed by a stress fracture of his left patella (knee cap) on January 29 that sidelined him for eight weeks.

Felix played nine D-League games as well, averaging 11 points, five rebounds and two assists while shooting 46% and hitting 33% of his 3-pointers.

Since-fired Cavaliers coach Mike Brown said Felix “is a young guy that brings a ton of energy and tries to play the game the right way. He’s a guy who can get extra possessions, who knows how to defend and he’s a great runner in transition.”

WHAT TO EXPECT FROM CARRICK FELIX?

Felix is going to a part of the Utah Jazz. His contract is guaranteed at $816,482 next year. He has a four-year contract with the next two years non-guaranteed.

He adds depth to the wing positions, where the Jazz were a bit thin. With Hayward, Burks and Hood, the Jazz needed a fourth wing player. Hood showed in Summer League that he is ready for playing time and a rotation spot. Hood’s performance changed Utah’s approach to adding another wing player. They’ve now opened that door for Hood, and Felix is insurance.

The Jazz scouts have had an eye on Felix and like his defensive mindset, his ability to rebound and his potential to shoot the three. He’s not an offensive playmaker with the ball in his hands. This is an opportunity for the Jazz to add a player they like and believe has a chance to develop into a rotational piece.

I wouldn’t expect a great deal of playing time for Felix unless injuries give him opportunities.

WHY DID THE JAZZ TRADE THESE PLAYERS?

The Jazz gave up two who weren’t going to be on the roster next year and a third who was very unlikely. John Lucas III was not returning as the backup point guard. Eric Murphy, after a disappointing Summer League, was not going to get his guarantee on August 1.

Malcolm Thomas had a very strong Summer League and was expected to be at training camp for the Jazz. However, the Jazz have a duplicate at the position with Jeremy Evans, who is guaranteed the final year of his contract next season. Evans’ experience gives him the edge at this position.

Thomas was going to have a hard time making the team. With six bigs already on the roster (Favors, Kanter, Gobert, Booker, Novak and Evans) it’s hard to see the Jazz carrying another. If Thomas were to make the team, the Jazz would probably have to trade or cut Evans. With Evans guaranteed $1.7 million and Thomas at $1 million, then you end up with a choice of Evans at $1.7 million or Thomas at $2.7 million (the two contracts combined)Strange how it works, but the numbers were against Thomas.

The Jazz received a player they like who is going to play for them next year and a second-round pick in exchange for three players who were not going to play for them next season.

WHY DID THE CAVALIERS MAKE THIS TRADE?

This move gives the Cavs more flexibility and gives them some tradable chips on non-guaranteed contracts. The rule of aggregation means the Cavs can’t put these three players together in a deal for a period of time (maybe 2 months). However, they could add Lucas ($1.6 million) or Thomas ($1 million) to a deal and the receiving  team (read: Minnesota) could release the player and never pay the contract.

Just a thought that the Cavs need to get within 125% of Kevin Love’s $15.7 million or within $5 million to make a trade as long as they are over the threshold. Lucas’ contract would put a Bennett, Waiters combo within the range of Love.