TRADE DEADLINE BREAKDOWN #2 – Memphis moves Courtney Lee to Charlotte

TRADE – Memphis trades shooting guard Courtney Lee to Charlotte for PJ Hairston. Charlotte trades Brian Roberts to Miami and Miami sends Chris Andersen and 2nd round picks to Memphis

MEMPHIS DOES THIS WHY – Courtney Lee was an expiring contract at end of the year and they turn it into PJ Hairston and 2nd round picks. Honestly, not clear on why Memphis would do this. Hairston is not a good NBA player right now and 2nd round picks hit rate is very low. Memphis losses their pick to Denver if it falls between 6 and 14 so they don’t have a lot of incentive to fall into the lottery without Marc Gasol.

CHARLOTTE DOES THIS WHY – Charlotte is a 3 point shooting machine and they just got a lot better with Courtney Lee rather than PJ Hairston. Hairston was a stop gap while Michael Kidd-Gilchrist got healthy but he is now out of the for the season.

MIAMI DOES THIS WHY – Miami gets Brian Roberts who is not a bad player but more importantly they saved nearly 6 million dollars in luxury tax

WHAT IMPACT ON THE JAZZ – Could be significant. With Marc Gasol out for the year it is not clear where the Grizzlies are headed. Obviously, any hope of a surprise playoff run is out the window. Memphis offense was 3 points better per 100 possessions with Lee on the floor. Now without the spacing of Lee and the passing of Gasol Memphis is going to have a hard time scoring. Memphis is currently on pace for about 45 to 47 wins and the 5th seed. If the Jazz gets hot and close 20-10 they finish with 46 wins.

TRADE DEADLINE BREAKDOWN #1 – Harris to Detroit from Orlando for Jennings and Illyasova

TRADE – Detroit acquires Tobais Harris from Orlando for Ersan Illysova and Bradon Jennings

DETROIT DOES THIS WHY – Tobais Harris becomes a part of an exciting young core with Reggie Jackson, Caldwell-Pope, Stanley Johnson and Andre Drummond. Harris is under contract for 4 years and 64 million and that would be a good off-season free agent signing. Harris will be able to play between the 3 and the 4.

DETROIT RISK — Harris maybe a player that has put up numbers on a bad team and does not help a team win.

ORLANDO DOES THIS WHY – Clears a cap space for off-season and allows them to sign Even Fournier. It will clear time for Mario Hezonja. It wasn’t working in Orlando and they decided Tobais Harris was not part of the plan for the future.

ORLANDO RISK — Gave up on Harris and got nothing but space in return

IMPACT ON JAZZ — None. None of these players fit into the Jazz mold or the Jazz needs. Nor does it impact the West race. Might be a little worrisome to New Orleans that Harris didn’t grab much and they are trying to trade Ryan Anderson for assets. Might force New Orleans to consider other moves

BREAKDOWN – Re-watch of the 4th quarter of Jazz v. Dallas

Re-Watch of 4th quarter of Jazz win over Mavericks

• Hood 3 – started in diagonal line. Jazz have gotten rid of the stack plays out of timeout because they were being held all the time and never called. Hood came from left corner all the way to the top and then waits. Lyles just posted Parsons to get the inbound. Now Gobert finds Hood and sets a pick on Hood’s man. Hayward comes from the inbound and also sets a pick on Hoods man. Deron who is guarding Hayward switches out of this mess onto Hood.
Great D by Deron. Lyles hands off to Hood and bumps Deron. Parsons steps out on Hood and forces an incredibly tough look. Dallas guards this near perfectly.

Great defensive switch by Gobert to make Deron Williams miss

• Pick and roll between Hayward and Favors was great early in the 4th quarter. Hayward throws the pocket pass at a high level for a big wing. Jazz just kept pounding this play everytime down. Scored and scored and scored.

• Gordon is 2 of 12 with 9:00 left in the 4th but he has dominated the first three minutes of the quarter with passing and playmaking.

• Chris Johnson defense on Deron Williams was important

• Huge play – Jazz run another pick and roll with Favors and Hayward. Zaza is now in the game and covers it perfectly denying a drive and a pocket pass. Hayward maintains the dribble in the lane and Favors moves over to a baseline jumper and hit the 13 footer. So big because Dallas guarded the first action perfectly and Hayward and Favors just played basketball at that point.

• Lyles in the game is giving the Jazz a lot of space for the Hayward/Favors pick and roll.

• Trey Lyles has really good basketball instincts. Wesley missed a 3. Mavericks got the offensive rebound and out of the scramble moved the ball to Parsons for a corner 3. Lyles started the possession on a switch, then fending off Zaza and as the ball starts to swing from right wing to left he is on the right side of the lane and gets out to the left corner to alter Chandler Parsons three who is not his man.

• Make or miss league Dallas missed some good looks mid way through the 4th quarter

• Great recognition by Hayward – two straight plays of pnr with Favors so Dallas shifted and he went straight line to the basket and Dallas had no rim protection in the game.

• When Favors needed a break Jazz went to the Hood/Lyles pick and roll. The options are increasing. Hood is an incredible shot maker.

• Dallas broadcast team called Neto feisty and compared him to JJ Barea

• Gobert’s block of D-Will is great but the play is made by Neto effort and Lyles willingness to dig down off Dirk and bother Deron route and making him become very methodical

• Raymond Felton had no chance guarding Hood. You can’t guard Hood if you are smaller than him.

• Rudy Gobert impressively active on defense

• Great use of timeouts by Quin to save one for the final play of regulation

• Favors free throw line jumper with no concern with 1:20 left to put Utah up 1. Wow. Confidence

• Chris Johnson hustle plays – loose ball rebound on first play of 4th quarter leads to a Favors dunk. With 7:29 l

BREAKDOWN – Exciting Jazz Lineup Data

JAZZ LINEUP DATA
The injuries this year have made it very difficult to evaluate if the Jazz core is a group that can be successful. For example, Favors and Gobert have only played 15 games together. Trey Lyles hasn’t played with Derrick Favors since his rapid improvement. Today I have looked at combinations that involve Hayward, Hood, Favors, Gobert and Lyles.

To understand offensive and defensive rating remember this. League average rating is 102.5 (102.5 pts per 100 possessions) The best offense is the Warriors at 113 and the 5th best is Clippers at 105.2. The worst offense is Philly at 94 but anything under 100 is really poor offense or really good defense.

Team rating only 6 teams in the league are more than +4. Only 3 are above +6.

Here are the Jazz details.

Favors and Gobert have only played together in 15 of the Jazz 45 games this year. They have been on the floor 305 minutes.

With Favors and Gobert on the floor together the Jazz are +8.2 with an offensive rating of 108.8 and a defensive rating of 100.6 The 108.8 offensive rating would be 3rd best team in the NBA and the 100.6 defense would be 9th.
Rodney Hood and Gordon Hayward have played 1026 minutes together this season. In those minutes the Jazz are -.3 with an offensive rating of 105.5 and a defensive rating of 105.8

When Rodney Hood, Gordon Hayward and Rudy Gobert are on the floor together the Jazz are +4.1 over 24 games and 494 minutes. The offensive rating is 109.7 and the defensive rating is 105.5.

When Rodney Hood, Gordon Hayward and Derrick Favors are on the floor together the Jazz are -.6 over 27 games and 557 minutes. The offensive rating is 105.9 and the defensive rating is 106.6.

When all 4 of the Jazz core pieces are together, Hood, Hayward, Favors and Gobert the Jazz have a +8.8 rating over 14 games and 247 minutes. An offensive rating of 110.2 and defensive rating of 101.3

This tells us that the 310 minutes that Hood, Hayward and Favors played with another big have been disastrous. In those 310 minutes the Jazz have been -5.9 per 100 possessions. Moreover, you will see below this group is good with Lyles so the 160 minutes Favors has played without Gobert or Lyles with Hood and Hayward have been catastrophic.

That leads to the Trey Lyles impact. The line-up of Hood, Hayward, Lyles and Favors has played 154 minutes together this year over 12 games and in those the Jazz are +5.3 with a 109.1 offensive rating and a 103.8 defensive rating. Only 5 of those minutes have come in January since Lyles has improved.

The line-up of Hood, Hayward, Lyles and Gobert has played 137 minutes together and the Jazz are +4.9 with an offensive rating 111.8 and a defensive rating of 106.9. 132 of these minutes have happened in January since Favors was hurt.

The Jazz core 5 pieces of Hood, Hayward, Favors, Gobert and Lyles have been incredibly successful when they are on the floor together. When the Jazz get solid point guard play and a deeper bench we could be in for a very exciting ride.

When Coach Snyder has a full complement of his roster the results are terrific. Moreoever, as the roster develops with more depth he will be able to put out more complete line-ups more often.

ADDTION – Alec looks really good as well.

Alec with Gordon, Favors and Gobert – 77 minutes 121 off rtg (insane) 107.5 defensive rating (not good) but overall +13.6

Alec with Rodney, Favors and Gobert – 68 minutes 119.3 off rtg (insane) 107 defensive rating (not good) but overall +12.3

55 of these minutes were with the lineup of Alec, Rodney, Gordon, Favors and Rudy. That line-up has an offensive rating of 124 and a defensive rating of 109. +14.8 overall.

This lineup has shot 57% when on the floor. Not sure if that is sustainable.

DRAFT BREAKDOWN — Kelly Oubre Jr.

Compiled by Leif Thulin

NBA DRAFT PLAYER FRAMEWORK (Kelly Oubre)

 

MEASURABLES

Height:  6’6.75”

Weight: 203 lbs

Wingspan:  7’2.25”

Standing Reach: 8’6.5”

No Step Vert: 34.5”

Max Vert:  37”

Measurable Comps:  Kendall Gill (NBA Draft. Net)

 

LOCKE’S TAKE

What a body.  7’2.25 wingspan.  6’7 body.  203 pounds at 19 years old.   With a sweet stroke.   Used very little at Kansas in Bill Self’s point guard post centric offense.  Opening month of his time at Kansas was very rocky.  Not an incredible athlete but moves smoothly and could have a huge impact defensively with his length.  Has a decent handle.  Didn’t always look like he was playing hard at Kansas.   Grabbed 5 rebounds a game which is a lot for a wing and if he continues that in NBA puts him in elite category.    Have to decide if you believe he is waiting to explode once out of the shackles of Kansas or is all body no game.

PERSONAL STORIES/BACKGROUND

Kelly Oubre is a man from Louisiana, forced to move because of Hurricane Katrina, moving to Texas, playing AAU basketball with the likes of Justise Winslow and Justin Jackson. Oubre at Kansas, was known as a good athlete, with an improving offensive game. Both his free throw and three point percentages are respectable. Using his combination of speed, size and strength, he could be a good two way player in the NBA. He is predicted to be selected in the lottery or a few picks below the end of the lottery.

 

MOCK DRAFTS

Chad Ford: 14th

Draft Express: 14th

NBA.com:

Sports Illustrated: 20th

NBA Draft Net: 19th

 

NUMBERS

Minutes: 21.0

Points per game: 9.3

Rebounds per game: 5.0

Assists per game: 0.8

Steals per game:1.1

Blocks per game 0.4

Field Goal Percentage: 44.4%

Three Point Percentage: 35.8%

Free Throw Percentage:  71.8%

 

ADVANCED NUMBERS  

Spot Up Shooting:  29 of 81 (50% efg)

Post Ups:   NA

Isolations:  7 of 13 and went to line 17% of the time

P&R Man:  NA

P&R Handler:  8 of 31 and went to the line 31% of the time

Jump Shots:   31 of 89  (49%)

Around the Rim:  35 of 66 (53%)

Catch and Shoot:  25 of 70  (54% efg)

Catch and Shoot Open:  8 of 19 (63% efG)

Jump Shot off the bounce:   6 of 18

17 feet to 3 point line:   3 of 4

DRAFT BREAKDOWN — Devin Booker

Compiled by Leif Thulin

NBA DRAFT PLAYER FRAMEWORK (Devin Booker)

 

MEASURABLES

(Kevin O’Connor’s 2015 NBA Draft Guide)

Height:  6’6”

Weight: 206 lbs

Wingspan: 6’8.25”

Standing Reach: 8’6.5”

No Step Vert: 27.5”

Max Vert:  34.5”

Measurable Comps:  Klay thompson (NBA Draft.Net)

 

LOCKE’S TAKE

Labelled as the best shooter in the draft in a league desperate for shooting.   However, what else does he do?  As the youngest player in the Draft there is a lots of room for improvement.   With all the talent at Kentucky it is hard to tell if he was limited to his role because of what surrounded him or because he is limited.  If he is a just a shooter then taking him in the top 12 is a huge stretch.   He shows some off the bounce game but the college numbers are not good in this area.  He has decent measurables.  Opposing teams went at him defensively whenever he was on the floor.   He has a perfect release and terrific form on his shot.  Has been schooled well by former NBA dad.

 

PERSONAL STORIES/BACKGROUND

Devin Booker is an intriguing prospect because of his lack of playing time on a loaded Kentucky team, featuring 9 All Americans. Booker is known for his shot, shooting 41.1% from three and 82.8% from the strike. Booker projects to be a mid to late lottery selection, even with his full array of skills not being shown at Kentucky. Booker, although known for being a shooter posted good results in the combine, with a 10.22 second lane agility time, 2.75 second shuttle run and a 3.28 second ¾ quarter court sprint. His main knock is being a poor finisher at the rim, but at only 18. he still has time to mature physically into his body, and put on some weight in order to compete better at the next level physically.

 

MOCK DRAFTS

Chad Ford: 9th

Draft Express: 9th

Kevin O’Connor’s guide: 18th

Sports Illustrated: 8th

NBA Draft Net: 14th

 

NUMBERS

(Draft Express)

Minutes: 21.5

Points per game: 10

Rebounds per game: 2.0

Assists per game: 1.1

Steals per game: 0.4

Blocks per game 0.1

Field Goal Percentage: 47%

Three Point Percentage: 41.1%

Free Throw Percentage: 82.8%

 

ADVANCED NUMBERS  (I will take care of these)

Spot Up Shooting:  50 of 122 (58% efg)

Post Ups:   NA

Isolations:  3 all season

P&R Man:   NA

P&R Handler:   2 for 7

Jump Shots:   72 of 178 – 41% (58% efg)

Around the Rim:  11 of 20

Catch and Shoot:   52 of 126 41% (58% efg)

Catch and Shoot Open:   25 of 51 (69% efg)

Jump Shot off the bounce:   19 of 51 (38% efg)

17 feet to 3 point line:  14 of 25

DRAFT BREAKDOWN – Stanley Johnson

NBA DRAFT PLAYER FRAMEWORK (Stanley Johnson)

 

MEASURABLES ( Kevin O’Connor’s guide)

Height:  6’7’’

Weight: 242

Wingspan: 6’11.5”

Standing Reach: 8’6’’

No Step Vert: NA

Max Vert:  Na

Measurable Comps:  Kawhi Leonard and Ron Artest (NBA Draft.Net)

 

LOCKE’S TAKE

Great body with super athleticism.   Dominated Sam Dekker and Norman Powell on the defensive ends in games that I watched.  Strangely, the athleticism doesn’t transfer over to the offensive game.  Very little lift around the basket.  Has a really hard time finishing at the rim.   Handle isn’t good enough right now for a dribble drive game.  Played against zone in two of the games I watched and is much better against a man where he can use his strength.  Has a nice touch on his jump shot though at higher volume it is unclear how it maintains.  College shooting numbers are great as you will see below

 

PERSONAL STORIES/BACKGROUND

Stanley Johnson has been recognized for his tenacious defense and combination of speed and brute strength. At Arizona, Johnson was used as a wing, attacking the basket, playing stellar defense and developing an outside shot, as he probably will be used the same way at the next level. Johnson projects to be a mid to late lottery pick with the potential to be a force in the NBA.

 

MOCK DRAFTS

Chad Ford: 10th

Draft Express: 10th

Kevin O’Connor’s guide: 9th

Sports Illustrated: 10th

NBA Draft Net: 10th

 

NUMBERS

(Kevin O’Connor’s Guide)

Minutes: 28.4

Points per game: 13.8

Rebounds per game: 6.5

Assists per game: 1.7

Steals per game: 1.5

Blocks per game 0.4

Field Goal Percentage: 44.6%

Three Point Percentage: 37.1% (ESPN)

Free Throw Percentage: 74.2%

 

ADVANCED NUMBERS  (I will take care of these)

Spot Up Shooting:   47 of 105 (59.5% EFG)

Post Ups:   5 for 11

Isolations:   18 of 46  (41% efG)

P&R Man:    NA

P&R Handler:   20 of 45 (49% efg)

Jump Shots:   65 of 148  (58% efg)

Around the Rim:   42 of 96  (44%)

Catch and Shoot:   35 of 80 (65% efg)

Catch and Shoot Open:   23 of 54 (63% efg)

Jump Shot off the bounce:   26 of 53 (54% efg)

17 feet to 3 point line:   5 of 14

DRAFT BREAKDOWN – Sam Dekker

Complied by Leif Thulin

SAM DEKKER

 

MEASURABLES

Height:  6’9” (with shoes) 6’7.75” (without shoes) (Draft Express)

Weight: 219 lbs (Draft Express)

Wingspan: 6’11.5” (Draft Express)

Standing Reach: 8’10” (Draft Express)

No Step Vert: 25.5” (Draft Express)

Max Vert:  34.5” (Draft Express)

Measurable Comps:  Gordon Hayward (NBA Draft Net)

 

LOCKE’S TAKE

Terrific system player at Wisconsin.   Love wing player with high level of toughness. Biggest college strength was finishing around the rim. Biggest college weakness was shooting.   Hard combination to take to the next level.  Plays very hard and that is a skill.   Has the size to guard and play multiple positions in the NBA.   Made plays on the college level.   Understood his abilities and used them well.   Solid passer in the movement based system of Wisconsin.   Shooting numbers in college are concerning for his ability to be a threat in NBA

 

PERSONAL STORIES/BACKGROUND

Sam Dekker is a player who has won from youth into highschool, and then the NCAA, losing in the final four two years in a row. Sam Dekker grew up in Sheboygan Wisconsin, winning a state championship under his father at Sheboygan Lutheran. After losing a heartbreaker to the Julius Randle led Kentucky Wildcats in the 2014 final four, he vowed to get another shot at the final four, and in route to the final four, and even through it,  he played his best basketball, averaging 19.1 points per game, leading his team especially down the stretch in games of the tournament, until losing to Duke in the National Championship game.

 

MOCK DRAFTS

Chad Ford:  17th

Draft Express: 16th

NBA.com:

Sports Illustrated: 18th

NBA Draft Net: 12th

 

NUMBERS

 (Draft Express)

Minutes: 30.6

Points per game: 13.9

Rebounds per game: 5.6

Assists per game: 1.2

Steals per game: 0.5

Blocks per game 0.5

Field Goal Percentage:

Three Point Percentage: 33.1%

Free Throw Percentage: 70.8%

 

ADVANCED NUMBERS  (I will take care of these)

Spot Up Shooting:  51 of 132 (51% efg)

Post Ups:   25 of 44 (57% efg)

Isolations:   19 of 35 (54% efg)

P&R Man:   NA

P&R Handler:  13 of 31 (50% efg)

Jump Shots:   58 of 176 (47% efg) — that is 33% overall

Around the Rim:  107 of 151 (71%)

Catch and Shoot:  40 of 125 (48% efg ) — that is 32% overall

Catch and Shoot Open:   12 of 36 (50% efg)

Jump Shot off the bounce:   18 of 48 (48% efg)

17 feet to 3 point line:   5 of 19

JAZZ DRAFT BREAKDOWN – Frank Kaminsky

FRANK KAMINSKY

MEASURABLES

(Draft Express)

Height:  7’0.75”

Weight: 231 lbs

Wingspan:  6’11”

Standing Reach: 9’1.5”

No Step Vert: NA

Max Vert:  NA

Measurable Comps:  Nenad Kristic  (NBA Draft. Net)

 

LOCKE’S TAKE

Great college player who will have a big adjustment to the NBA.  At Wisconsin, had the ball in his hands a lot.  The offense was built for him.  Will have to adjust to being a complimentary player in the NBA.  His pure shooting numbers are great.  He is crafty with the ball and is able to handle and pass well for a 7 footer.  Plays low to the ground.  Struggled badly in the post whenever guarded by NBA length. Plays at a methodical pace will be interesting to see if speed of NBA game takes away a lot of his skills.  Will never be an impact defensive player instead will need to learn how to be viable defensively.  

 

PERSONAL STORIES/BACKGROUND

Frank Kaminsky emerged as a bonafide star during the Wisconsin run to the final four, before losing to Kentucky in the semifinals. Returning for a senior year, Kaminsky improved, becoming the Naismith Player of the Year and John R. Wooden ward. Kaminsky once again helped bring his team to the final four, only to be thwarted by Duke. Kaminsky has the tools to be a lottery pick, as he is projected to be by most experts. Kaminsky’s stock will be dependent on his ability to adjust to the NBA’s three point line, which is three feet farther away from the basket than where he shot 41.6% in college. This transition will be key to his draft selection since his position in the NBA will be the highly valuable stretch four.

 

MOCK DRAFTS

Chad Ford: 13th

Draft Express: 10th

NBA.com: NA

Sports Illustrated: 6th

NBA Draft Net: 19th

 

NUMBERS

Minutes: 33.6

Points per game: 18.8

Rebounds per game: 8.2

Assists per game: 2.6

Steals per game: 0.8

Blocks per game 1.5

Field Goal Percentage: 54.7%

Three Point Percentage: 41.6%

Free Throw Percentage:  78.0%

 

ADVANCED NUMBERS  (I will take care of these)

Spot Up Shooting:  33 of 82  (51% efg)

Post Ups:   74 of 138 (51% efg)

Isolations:  29 of 55 (54% efg)

P&R Man:  27 of 62  (56% efg)

P&R Handler:  12 of 19 (63% efg)

Jump Shots:   52 of 129  (57% efg)

Around the Rim:  103 of 152 (68%)

Catch and Shoot:   42 of 94 (67% efg)

Catch and Shoot Open:  17 of 37 (69% efg)

Jump Shot off the bounce:  7 of 26 (27%)

17 feet to 3 point line:   3 of 10