Three mock drafts seem to be on top of things. Chad Ford of ESPN always does a great job, Jonathan Givony is terrific at Draft Express and Sam Amick has been working hard for SI.
Here is where they are similar or different
All three have the same top 5 players in the draft, Anthony Davis, Thomas Robinson, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Bradley Beal and Harrison Barnes, however not in the same order.
Amick has Beal #2 while the others have Robinson. Givony has Kidd-Gilchrist 4 the others have him 5 with Barnes 4.
The next tier seems to be Damian Lillard, Andre Drummond, Dion Waiters, Austin Rivers the wild card seems to be who will be #9 to Pistons and what order these next 4 will go.
Lillard is 6 to Portland from Ford and Givony but #10 to New Orleans with Amick.
Drummond floats at 6,7 or as low as 10 to New Orleans, Waiters is at 7 from Amick and Givony but 8 with Ford.
The first real debate seems to be Meyers Leonard, John Henson or Tyler Zeller as the next big after Drummond.
12 of the top 13 players are all the same on the three mocks. Amick has Marshall in the top 13 Ford doesn’t, and Amick doesn’t have John Henson in his top 13 whereas Giovony has Marshall at 13.
AFter the top 13 – the next set of players is Perry Jones III (14 on Ford, 20 on Giovony and 16 on Amicks) Terrence Ross, Moe Harkless, Jared Sullinger, Terrence Jones and Arnett Moultrie.
Amazingly, the top 20 players in the Ford mock make up for 19 of the 20 in Giovony’s (Arnett Moultrie out at 21 and Royce White in at 18) and Amick also has 19 of Ford’s 20 (Moultrie at 24 and White at 20).
The other way to say it is that Amick and Giovony have the same top 20 players and Ford has 19 of the 20.
This shows the top 20 of this draft is breaking very clearly into four tiers of players and the final 10 spots have also become a tier and most of the mocks have the same players.
Every year their are some surprises but this seems like the draft is taking some order for teams looking to make moves or enter into the draft at certain points.