2013 NBA Draft Lottery Odds and Ends


Jazz History in the Lottery

  • The Jazz finished the 2012-13 season with a 43-39 record, the best of any non-playoff team, and is currently slotted for the 14th pick entering the Draft Lottery.
  • Teams with the projected 14th pick have never obtained a top-three pick from the lottery. The closest a team has come was in 1999 when Charlotte, the final team in the lottery, had the 13th pick and received the third overall pick.
  • Utah also holds the 21st overall pick (from Golden State via New Jersey) and the 46th pick.
  • The rights to Golden State’s 2013 first-round pick (21st overall) reverted to Utah per the February 23, 2011 trade with New Jersey that also brought Derrick Favors, Devin Harris and a 2011 first-round pick (third overall – Enes Kanter) to Utah in exchange for Deron Williams.
  • The Jazz franchise has never won the top pick in the NBA Draft. The highest overall pick came in 1980 when the Jazz selected Darrell Griffith with the second overall pick, the franchise’s only second overall pick to date.
  • The Jazz has had six lottery selections (2004: Kris Humphries – 14th; 2005: Deron Williams – third; 2006: Ronnie Brewer – 14th; 2010: Gordon Hayward – ninth; 2011: Enes Kanter – third, Alec Burks – 12th).
  • Since the implementation of the Draft Lottery in 1985, Utah has never drafted in positions 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10, 11 or 13 (Jazz did receive the sixth pick in 2005 Lottery, but later included it in trade to Portland in exchange for the third overall pick).
  • Only once in franchise history has the Jazz improved its draft position via the lottery, improving from sixth to third in 2011 (selected Enes Kanter) despite having just a 9.39% of moving into that slot.
  • The final 2012-13 Jazz roster featured six former Lottery picks – Marvin Williams (#2 in 2005 by Atlanta), Derrick Favors (#3 in 2010 by New Jersey), Enes Kanter (#3 in 2011), Randy Foye (#7 in 2006 by Boston), Gordon Hayward (#9 in 2010) and Alec Burks (# 12 in 2011). Kanter, Hayward and Burks were each selected by the Jazz.

2013 NBA Draft Lottery Notables

  •  The Lottery will be held on May 21 with the broadcast starting at 6:30 p.m. MT on ESPN.
  • This year marks the 29th annual edition of the NBA Draft Lottery.
  • The Draft Lottery will be held for the second consecutive year at the Disney/ABC Times Square Studios in New York City.
  • The 14 teams participating in the Lottery are Orlando, Charlotte, Cleveland, Phoenix, New Orleans, Sacramento, Detroit, Washington, Minnesota, Portland, Philadelphia, Toronto, Dallas and Utah. Orlando finished the regular season with the worst record (20-62), thus receiving the highest odds for the top pick (25.0%) leading down to Utah which finished with the best record in the lottery (43-39), resulting in the lowest odds for the top pick (0.50%).
  • The biggest upset in NBA Draft history came in 1993 when Orlando won the top pick (Chris Webber) with only a 1.5% chance after being slotted in the 11th and what-was-then final lottery pick. The second-largest upset came in 2008 when the Chicago Bulls won the right to draft first (Derrick Rose) with just a 1.7% chance.
  • Since the weighted lottery system started in 1990, the team with the worst record has only won three times and the team with the second-worst record has won just four times.

2013 Jazz Lottery Probabilities

2013 Jazz Lottery Probabilities

Jazz All-Time Lottery Selections

Jazz All-Time Lottery Selections

Evolution of the NBA Draft Lottery

  • Prior to 1985 – Teams selected in inverse order of final standing with the exception of the territorial rule (a team’s ability to draft a local player). The teams with the worst records from each conference would participate in a coin toss to determine who had the first overall pick. Teams continued to select players in inverse order for all succeeding rounds.
  • 1985-1989 – Each non-playoff team had an equal chance at obtaining the top pick. It wasn’t until April 1986 that the league changed the format so only the top three draft choices were determined by the Lottery, with the remaining picks determined by inverse order of final record.
  • 1990-present – Introduction of the weighted lottery system gives the team with the worst record the best chance of securing the top pick. The team with the worst record got 11 chances out of 66 at receiving the first pick. Changes were made starting with the 1994 Draft to give the team with the worst record even better odds. The team with the worst record now has 250 chances out of 1000 (raising the chances from 16.7 percent to 25 percent).

 Jazz Draft Notables

  • The team had one pick in the 2012 NBA Draft, selecting Kevin Murphy in the second round (47th overall).
  • The Jazz did not own a first-round pick in 2012 for the first time since 1994. The rights to Utah’s 2012 first-round pick (18th overall) reverted to Minnesota per the July 13, 2010 trade that brought Al Jefferson to Utah.
  • The last time Utah participated in a draft night trade was during the 2007 NBA Draft, when the Jazz acquired the draft rights to Kyrylo Fesenko of the Ukraine (38th overall) in exchange for the draft rights to Herbert Hill of Providence (55th overall) and trade considerations.
  • The most recent Jazz draft day trade involving a first-round pick was when the Jazz acquired the third overall pick (Deron Williams) from Portland, in exchange for the sixth pick and 27th pick in 2005 and a conditional 2006 first-round pick.
  • The final 2012-13 Jazz roster featured nine former first-round picks – Marvin Williams (#2 in 2005), Derrick Favors (#3 in 2010), Enes Kanter (#3 in 2011), Randy Foye (#7 in 2006), Gordon Hayward (#9 in 2010), Alec Burks (# 12 in 2011), Al Jefferson (#15 in 2004), Jamaal Tinsley (#27 in 2001) and DeMarre Carroll (#27 in 2009).
  • Five players on the final 2012-13 Jazz roster were second-round draft picks –Earl Watson (#39 in 2001), Mo Williams (#47 in 2003), Paul Millsap (#47 in 2006), Kevin Murphy (#47 in 2012) and Jeremy Evans (#55 in 2010).
  • The remaining player (Jerel McNeal) was undrafted in 2009.
  • Of the 15 players on the final 2012-13 Jazz roster, seven were drafted by the Jazz (three in first round – Enes Kanter, Gordon Hayward, Alec Burks; four in second round – Mo Williams, Paul Millsap, Kevin Murphy and Jeremy Evans).
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